ALERTWEST'S RISK & CONSEQUENCE MODELING
WILDFIRE INTELLIGENCE BEYOND DETECTION
Understand where fire could spread, what could be impacted,
and how to act before conditions escalate.
PREDICTING IMPACT
SUPPORTING DECISIONS
ALERTWest Risk Modeling provides a clear, defensible view of wildfire risk using generative AI to simulate potential wildfire spread and impact under forecasted conditions. Instead of relying only on delayed reports or assumptions, agencies can use projected fire behavior to support planning, operational readiness, and public safety actions.
ALERTWest Risk Modeling Technology:
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Runs simulations using a purpose-built physics-constrained AI model to analyze probability of spread scenarios.
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Propagation simulations can be ran billions of times per day nationwide based on forecasted conditions.
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Proven alignment with actual fire behavior using back testing on major historical wildfires.
BUILT FOR HIGH-CONSEQUENCE DECISIONS
When conditions escalate, agencies and utilities need more than visibility, they need insight into where a fire could move, what could be affected, and how to act with confidence.
ALERTWest Risk Modeling supports:
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Earlier planning and preparedness
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Faster, more informed operational decisions
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Better alignment across teams and partner agencies
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Stronger justification for risk-based actions
Easton CA Fire Model
Franklin CA Fire Model
ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE,
NOT JUST DATA
Projected Fire Spread
Anticipate fire behavior using forecasted direction, speed, and potential burn footprint
Impact Assessment
Visibility on the estimated risk to critical infrastructure, public assets, and communities
Decision Support
Clear visual outputs designed for operational planning and leadership briefings
DESIGNED FOR MULTI-AGENCY
OPERATIONS
Utilities
Plan mitigation, strengthen operational readiness, and support risk-informed PSPS and grid protection decisions
Fire & Emergency Agencies
Anticipate fire movement and improve coordination across jurisdictions for evacuations, resource staging, and planning
Government & Public Sector
Strengthen public safety planning, coordination, and clear communication of risk-based actions
FROM MODELED RISK TO
OPERATIONAL ACTION
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Pre-season mitigation planning
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Red flag and extreme weather readiness
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Active incident anticipation and coordination
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Post-event review for future preparedness improvement
